MOMONEYMOFREE
MOMONEYMOFREE
SentThe Sunday Drop · #09
Sun, 28 June 2026 · 5 min read

Inflation is only one of three forces squeezing you

Even as the headline rate cools, you can still be going backwards. Prices are just one force — frozen tax brackets and your mortgage burden are the other two. Here's the part the inflation number never shows.

The one number
−1%

how far the typical Australian's real income now sits below pre-pandemic — the weakest run since the 1960s, and the headline inflation rate never showed it

This week’s 4 charts

Bar chart

Pay rises added 4 points. Interest and tax took 5.

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+4%Pay (labour income)-5%Interest + tax

Since 2019, wage growth lifted household income — but higher interest and tax took back more. Net result: backwards.

Source: RBA — income & consumption since the pandemic

Bar chart

Bracket creep bites lower earners hardest

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+5.3%$45k earner+3.2%$75k earner+2.4%$100k earner

The rise in your average tax rate over a decade of frozen brackets — biggest at the bottom.

Source: ATO brackets + e61 (illustrative, 10yr at ~3% inflation)

Bar chart

Your mortgage, then and now

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$11K2021$31K2026

Annual interest on a $500k loan — about 2.9× what it cost in 2021.

Source: RBA rates (illustrative ~2.1% vs ~6.1%)

Bar chart

Prices are still beating pay

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+5.5%Essentials+4.6%Headline CPI+3.3%Your pay (WPI)

Essentials and even the headline are outrunning wage growth — real pay is going backwards.

Source: ABS CPI + Wage Price Index, yr to Mar-2026

The takeaway

Inflation is only one of three forces. Frozen tax brackets quietly lift your rate, your mortgage burden sits near a 15-year high, and pay still isn't keeping up — so even as the headline cools, you can be going backwards. Find your own squeeze, don't just watch the number.

General information only — not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public sources, rounded and illustrative.