MOMONEYMOFREE
MOMONEYMOFREE
SentThe Sunday Drop · #08
Sun, 21 June 2026 · 5 min read

There is no inflation rate. There's yours.

The headline says 4.6%. But the ABS's own household indexes show lived cost rising anywhere from 2.6% to 5.2% right now — and which group hurts most just flipped. The official number leaves out the one bill that moved the most: your mortgage.

The one number
2.6–5.2%

the real range of lived-cost inflation across Australian households — the 4.6% headline is true for almost no one

This week’s 4 charts

Bar chart

Your inflation depends who you are

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+2.6%Working+3.8%Self-funded+4.9%Govt payment+5.2%Age Pension

ABS Living Cost Indexes, year to Mar-2026. The same economy, double the inflation depending on the household.

Source: ABS Selected Living Cost Indexes

Trend

The bill the CPI ignores

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-18.16%+42.6%+103.36%Jun 23Dec 23Dec 25Mar 26

Mortgage interest spiked +91.6% in 2023, then turned negative as the RBA cut. The CPI never counted it — your budget did.

Source: ABS Selected Living Cost Indexes

Bar chart

Essentials cost more than the headline

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+5.5%Essentials+4.6%Headline CPI+3.2%Discretionary

The ~61% of your budget you can't avoid is rising faster than the things you can — and faster than the official number.

Source: ABS CPI — non-discretionary vs discretionary

Ranked

What's actually rising

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Electricity+22.5%Automotive fuel+18.6%Education+4.8%New dwellings+4.7%Health+4%Rents+3.5%Insurance+3%Food & groceries+2.8%

Electricity leads — but it's almost all the unwind of government rebates (underlying ~3.1%). Averages hide the extremes.

Source: ABS CPI, year to Apr-2026

The takeaway

There is no inflation rate — there's yours. One national average can't describe a renter, a mortgage-holder and a pensioner at once, and the official number leaves out the bill that swings the most. Find where you actually sit, then watch the gap — not the headline.

General information only — not financial advice. Figures are drawn from public sources, rounded and illustrative.